H-1B Fee Hike: 4 Bold Predictions Firms Can’t Ignore

The Future of Global Talent After the H-1B Fee Hike

Hi everyone,   

The latest hike in H-1B visa filing fees, rising to an unprecedented $100,000, has sent ripples across global businesses. For years, this visa pipeline has been a lifeline for firms relying on US-based talent. But with costs mounting and approvals tightening, the old playbook is breaking down.  

If anything, this change serves as a stern reminder that building sustainable global operations cannot hinge on the uncertainty of immigration policy. And that’s where India’s Global Capability Centers (GCCs) come into sharper focus.  

From what I see, the firms that thrive won’t be those that treat GCCs as cost-saving side projects. They’ll be the ones bold enough to use them as engines of transformation.   

In my latest blog, I’ve laid out 4 bold predictions on how the H-1B squeeze could reshape the role of GCCs in the years ahead.  

1. GCCs will Evolve from Cost Centers to Global HQs 

The fee hike changes the economics of global staffing. If moving talent to the US gets pricier, it makes far more sense to bring decision-making closer to where the talent already is. 

The practical solution here is the GCC business model.

Did you know, as of FY2024, India is home to roughly 1,700 GCCs, collectively generating about $64.6 billion in revenue? 

That’s where the future lies and here’s what this means in practice: 

  • Shift from delivery to direction: GCCs will increasingly own core functions like compliance, regulatory strategy, and even client advisory.  

  • Not just execution but leadership: Instead of “taking instructions” from HQ, India teams will set agendas, run audits, and coordinate across geographies.  

  • Closer client touchpoints: With global clients becoming comfortable working with distributed teams, firms will route more client-facing activities through GCCs.

     

2. The Student-to-STEM-to-H-1B Pipeline will be Restructured 

For years, the “study in the US → get STEM OPT → transition to H-1B” pipeline has been the backbone of how firms secured young international talent.  

But with visa fees climbing, and quotas tightening, that model is cracking.

In fact, between FY2015 and FY2023, the number of H-1B visas issued for initial employment by India’s top seven IT firms fell by approximately 56%. 

What’s next? 

  • Local talent pipelines: Firms will start identifying graduates earlier, directly in India, and training them within GCCs instead of waiting for relocation. 
     

  • Onshore rotations, not relocation: Instead of permanent moves, firms may offer short international rotations, with long-term careers anchored in India.  

  • Smarter investments in training: More resources will flow into upskilling GCC staff on global tax law, risk, and compliance, to fill the gap H-1B talent once filled. 

Firms who adapt here will reduce their dependency on immigration cycles altogether, ultimately achieving much more than cost savings. 

 3. A New Talent Economy will Emerge Around GCCs 

As more global firms invest in India, a ripple effect begins. GCCs no longer operate in silos, they create demand for new industries, vendors, and partners.

Fact is, GCCs in India are expected to create between 425,000 and 450,000 new jobs by 2025.

Here’s the shape it could take: 

  • AI-enabled HR & training: Platforms that can fast-track onboarding and skill development for thousands of staff.  

  • Specialist service providers: Niche firms supporting GCCs in areas like compliance automation, ESG reporting, or AI deployment.  

  • Ecosystem synergies: Universities, ed-tech, and consulting firms aligning closer to GCC needs, creating a flywheel for global capability building.  

Over time, we’ll see India becoming the hub of a new global talent economy faster, smarter, and more integrated than before. 

4. GCCs will become Strategic Hubs for Innovation 

The biggest shift has happened with the mindset. For decades, GCCs were seen as “back offices.” But with cost arbitrage losing its primacy, the next wave is all about innovation. 

Over the past five years, Engineering and R&D GCCs have expanded 1.3 times faster than the overall average for all GCC set-ups. 

Here’s how it plays out: 

  • AI-led finance: GCCs experimenting with automation in FP&A, treasury, and risk management before rolling solutions out globally. 

  • Service model reinvention: Designing new offerings, not just delivering existing ones, directly out of India.  

  • Cross-industry innovation: GCCs leveraging talent and tech not only for accounting or tax, but for multi-sector transformations including healthcare, finance, IT, and beyond.  

If the H-1B hike forces firms to rethink where innovation lives, GCCs are the natural answer. But only if firms allow them to step beyond the box of “transactional support.”  

The Samera Way 

At Samera, we’ve been building this way of thinking into every GCC project we touch. Cost savings may get you through the door but it’s value creation, leadership, and innovation that keep you ahead. 

Want the full picture? Dive into my detailed breakdown of all 4 predictions here: 

 Cheers, 

Arun 

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